This project aims to discover if futures are underway and if that is improving the current and future outcomes for the users.
The engagement of people in visioning harbour futures improves understanding, identifies new knowledge needs, and attracts research effort and investments.
This project contributes to the ongoing activities of the larger World Harbour Project launched in 2015 at the IUCN. Lead by Working Group 3 it relates to and adds to the other projects across a global network of researchers, managers and decision-makers.
This meets an identified knowledge gap about harbour-based conflicts (Pearson, Windupranata et al. 2016) and a recommended action to make the values of users explicit using futuring or foresighting activities in a theory of change.
A questionnaire about the futures of harbours is underway for this project. The participant approach forms part of an experience-research-to-practice chain (Delgado-Serrano, Vanwildemeersch et al. 2016). Foresight also help interdisciplinary and integrated views that improve adaptive approaches in theory, policy and practice (Morf et al., 2013).
Participation of the full range of users and including marginalised users, is seen as a key innovation to improve the rigour, relevance, and reach of science (Diaz, Johnson et al. 2015). It also reduces the risk of undesirable futures becoming realities in harbours.
The future outcomes will be an active community of interest, results of the questionnaire and peer-reviewed publications. From these we will develop proposals to run collaborative and harbour specific projects.
This project adds to the World Harbour participants local capacity that makes participation work, it helps incorporate long-term considerations and increases the usefulness of future scenarios to manage conflict and contributes to reducing the risk of undesirable futures unfolding in the complex environments of harbours.
References: – Delgado-Serrano, M. d. M., P. Vanwildemeersch, S. London, C. Ortiz-Guerrero, R. Escalante Semerena and M. Rojas (2016). “Adapting prospective structural analysis to strengthen sustainable management and capacity building in community-based natural resource management contexts.” Ecology and Society 21(2). – Diaz, A. E. K., C. R. S. Johnson and T. A. Arcury (2015). “Perceptions that influence the maintenance of scientific integrity in community-based participatory research.” Health Education & Behavior 42(3): 393-401. – Pearson, S., W. Windupranata, S. Widodo Pranowo, A. Putri, Y. Ma, A. Vila-Concejo, E. Fernández, G. Méndez, J. Banks, A. M. Knights, L. B. Firth, B. Bollard Breen, R. Jarvis, D. Aguirre, S. Chen, A. N. Howard Smith, E. Johnston, P. Steinberg, E. Chatzinikolaou and C. Arvanitidis (2016). “Conflicts in some of the world harbours: what needs to happen next?” Maritime Studies 15: 10.